Autonomous Trading Agents
for Prediction Markets
Deploy AI-powered vaults that scalp micro spreads on Polymarket's 5-minute BTC binary markets. Passive market-making: $0.01 bids on both sides, instant $0.02 flips for 100% spread capture.
The Strategy
A state-machine driven cycle that runs every 5 minutes — no directional bets, pure passive market-making.
Discover
Scan Polymarket for active BTC 5-minute binary markets with tight spreads and high liquidity.
Quote
Place $0.01 limit bids on both YES and NO sides — passive market-making at extreme probability edges.
Fill & Flip
When filled, instantly sell at $0.02. 100% spread capture per share — no directional risk.
Roll Over
Before expiry, cancel open orders and roll into the next 5-minute window. Non-stop cycle.
Reconcile
Cross-check on-chain inventory with local ledger. Patch any drift from network latency.
Multi-Chain Architecture
Three sponsor chains, each with a distinct role. No single point of failure.
Arc
Settlement Layer- USDC-native EVM L1 — gas in dollars, not ETH
- PolyAgentsMarket contract for binary prediction markets
- Deterministic finality in ~2s
- On-chain vault balance & position tracking
Hedera
Access Control & Audit- HTS token gating — vault creation requires operator token
- HCS immutable audit log — every bid, fill, rollover recorded
- HBAR micropayments before each AI inference call
- HCS-14 on-chain agent identity (UAID)
ENS
Agent Identity Layer- Vault subname (vault-{id}.polyagents.eth) at deploy
- keccak256 policy hash as cryptographic commitment
- Live agent stats as text records (PnL, flips, engine state)
- ENSIP-25 agent verification — cross-chain identity
Core Features
Autonomous Agent Loop
State machine cycles through DISCOVER → QUOTE → HOLDING_INVENTORY → EXPIRY_GUARD → ROLL_OVER → RECONCILE. Fully automatic or advisory mode.
AI Market Analysis
Vercel AI Gateway with Gemini 2.0 Flash Lite analyses order flow, RSI, and volume to determine entry confidence and sizing.
HTS Token Gate
Hedera Token Service mints non-transferable operator tokens. Vault creation and cycle execution require token ownership — skin in the game.
HCS Immutable Audit
Every bid, fill, sell, and rollover is logged to Hedera Consensus Service. Queryable via Mirror Node REST API. Export as CSV.
ENS Agent Identity
Each vault gets an ENS subname. Policy hash committed via keccak256 text record. Live stats (PnL, flips, engine state) readable by any ENS tool.
Policy Commitment Scheme
keccak256(strategyJSON) published on-chain. Anyone can verify the agent follows its original policy — without seeing the content.
Ready to deploy?
5-step wizard. Configure strategy, fund with USDC, and let the agent start scalping 5-minute markets.